Binay regains lead in Pulse Asia survey; Poe, Duterte statistically tied in second place

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Vice President Jejomar Binay bested Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte and Sen. Grace Poe, who shared the second spot in the survey conducted from December 4 to 11.

Metro Manila (CNN Philippines) — Vice President Jejomar Binay of the United Nationalist Alliance (UNA) regained the lead in the latest pre-election survey conducted by Pulse Asia Research, Inc.

The last time Binay won the Ulat ng Bayan national survey was in September 2014.

In the survey conducted from December 4 to 11, three in 10 or 33 percent of Filipinos said they would elect Binay as the country’s next president.

Binay bested frequent pre-election survey winners Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte and Sen. Grace Poe, who shared the second place after they gained 23 and 21 percent of votes, respectively.

Duterte and Poe are in a statistical tie because the survey claims a margin of error of ± 2 percent, with a 95 percent confidence level.

Trailing behind is former Interior Secretary Manuel “Mar” Roxas II with 17 percent. Sen. Miriam Defensor-Santiago was a far fourth with four percent.

Meanwhile, Duterte maintained his lead in Mindanao, after 43 percent of respondents said they would want him as president.

Binay was the top presidential bet in Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon and Visayas.

A total of 1,800 registered voters aged 18 and above participated in the survey.

They were asked to give only one answer to the question, “Sa mga taong nasa listahang ito, sino ang inyong iboboto bilang PRESIDENTE NG PILIPINAS kung ang eleksyon ng 2016 ay gaganapin ngayon at sila ay mga kandidato?”

[Translation: Of the people on this list, whom would you vote for as PRESIDENT OF THE PHILIPPINES if the 2016 elections were held today and they were candidates?]

Pulse Asia said it undertook the survey on its own and no party singularly commissioned the survey.

“In keeping with our academic nature, no religious, political, economic, or partisan group influenced any of these processes,” Pulse Asia said.

Escudero paces VP race

Meanwhile, Poe’s running mate, Sen. Francis “Chiz” Escudero led the survey for the vice presidential race, after garnering 29 percent of the respondents’ votes. He was top vice presidential bet in Metro Manila, Luzon, and Visayas.

Sen. Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos, Jr. landed in second place with 23 percent.

Sen. Alan Peter Cayetano and Camarines Sur Rep. Leni Robredo shared the third spot with 18 percent and 14 percent respectively. Like Duterte, Cayetano also got the most number of votes in Mindanao (27 percent).

Binay’s running mate, Sen. Gregorio “Gringo” Honasan II only received nine percent of votes, while Sen. Antonio “Sonny” Trillanes IV got four percent.

Liberal Party bets lead senatorial survey

Meanwhile, in the senatorial race, re-electionists Sen. Vicente “Tito” Sotto III of the Nationalist People’s Coalition (NPC) and Sen. Panfilo “Ping” Lacson led the survey rankings with 72 percent and 65 percent, respectively

Liberal Party bets secured six out of the 12 spots in the senatorial survey. Here is the complete list:

  • Sotto, Vicente III "Tito" (NPC) 71.8%
  • Lacson, Panfilo "Ping" (Ind.) 65.3%
  • Recto, Ralph (LP) 63.0%
  • Pangilinan, Francis "Kiko" (LP) 58.6%
  • Drilon, Franklin "Frank" (LP) 58.6%
  • Zubiri, Miguel "Migz" (Ind.) 57.7%
  • Osmeña, Sergio III "Serge" (Ind.) 52.3%
  • Pacquiao, Emmanuel "Manny" (UNA) 50.5%
  • Gordon, Richard "Dick" (BAGUMBAYAN-VNP) 50.2%
  • Guingona, Teofisto III "TG" (LP) 45.3%
  • De Lima, Leila Norma Eulalia Josefa (LP) 38.5%
  • Hontiveros-Baraquel, Risa (LP) 36.6%